Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 8.225966 9.189607 10.278475 11.612365 13.219709 15.117060 1.756154e+01
2024-12-22 6.691250 7.912946 9.421167 11.466391 14.245331 18.017089 2.377457e+01
2024-12-29 6.023978 7.405252 9.219321 11.871045 15.831485 21.885052 3.272478e+01
2025-01-05 5.311236 6.688919 8.570888 11.461755 16.071770 23.762507 3.941638e+01
2025-01-12 4.744226 6.081713 7.962939 10.964055 16.003898 25.042566 4.565837e+01
2025-01-19 4.336386 5.644476 7.531749 10.645549 16.128215 26.663801 5.365583e+01
2025-01-26 4.072890 5.383018 7.322351 10.634842 16.767379 29.485476 6.690339e+01
2025-02-02 4.038226 5.449224 7.612978 11.494113 19.226718 37.271642 1.046906e+02
2025-02-09 3.934342 5.397250 7.705174 12.015420 21.161320 44.939674 1.592996e+02
2025-02-16 3.755567 5.211391 7.554364 12.058530 22.071897 50.400711 2.213838e+02
2025-02-23 3.660823 5.149500 7.603189 12.489744 24.009109 60.476571 3.752861e+02
2025-03-02 3.420040 4.833369 7.182185 11.918248 23.320502 60.974324 4.409904e+02
2025-03-09 3.238902 4.620658 6.955657 11.784709 23.932092 67.884263 7.265867e+02
2025-03-16 3.070752 4.421028 6.740404 11.659419 24.598492 76.249768 1.426535e+03
2025-03-23 2.990312 4.361382 6.772072 12.075436 26.993904 96.802499 8.928704e+03
2025-03-30 2.816414 4.128673 6.457292 11.655801 26.688920 102.124127 4.752874e+04
2025-04-06 2.648019 3.895314 6.122662 11.145703 25.954948 104.124672 4.226274e+06
2025-04-13 2.515114 3.716268 5.878653 10.819403 25.759165 110.210673 NaN
2025-04-20 2.428030 3.612439 5.771792 10.808437 26.669849 127.367180 NaN
2025-04-27 2.437964 3.680787 6.008796 11.688977 31.304242 198.737125 NaN
2025-05-04 2.409808 3.677958 6.101936 12.223576 34.985889 292.106326 NaN
2025-05-11 2.339745 3.593471 6.018230 12.267797 36.580939 370.817481 NaN
2025-05-18 2.306660 3.575571 6.072936 12.710243 40.417263 585.034380 NaN